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JEFF: Scouting Day One

By Jeff Falconio

The Packers have three picks on the first day of the NFL Draft, the 30th, 56th and 60th overall picks.  That translates into a first-rounder and two second-rounders.  If the Packers stand pat and don't make any trades, there's a good chance they can walk away with three guys who can contribute right away.  There was a lot of wheeling-and-dealing during Ted Thompson's first three drafts but that was mainly because the team needed to restock the roster.  Now that the Packers have virtually every starter in place and quality depth at nearly every position, Thompson can ease up on the trading-down philosophy he used from 2005 to 2007 in order to stockpile picks.

 

So what direction will the Packers take with those first three picks?  It's hard to tell who will still be on the board at number 30 but certainly there are positions the Packers will want to upgrade this weekend.  So here is an offensive position-by-position look at what the Packers might be looking at when Roger Goodell goes to the podium for the 30th time on Saturday evening:

 

Quarterback: Boston College's Matt Ryan will be long gone but there's a chance he might be the only one taken after 29 picks.  That means Louiville's Brian Brohm might be there.  If Brohm is available and the Packers select him there will be only one reason why: the Packers had him at the top of their board.  It won't have anything to do with the ability of Aaron Rodgers or a Brett Favre comeback or anything like that.  Brohm was solid at Louisville but durability is a big concern and that has caused him to slip from top ten status to possibly out of the first round altogether.  There is one trading-down scenario here.  If the Atlanta Falcons pass on Ryan and if Brohm is still available, Thompson might get a call from the Falcons.  Atlanta has three second round picks.  The Falcons might package a few together and trade up to grab Brohm.  Delaware's Joe Flacco and Michigan's Chad Henne will likely both be available in the second round.  The Packers still need to find a quality backup to Rodgers and if either of those two are available Thompson might be inclined to pull the trigger.

 

Running Back: There's not much talent at this position.  Certainly Darren McFadden of Arkansas will be gone and it's highly likely that Rashard Mendenhall, Jonathan Stewart, and Felix Jones will be gone as well.  Again, it comes down to who is at the top of the draft board.  If one of those three slips then the Packers might pounce, even though it's not a high-need position.  Jamaal Charles of Texas leads a crop that will be available early in the second round but with the lack of overall talent, the Packers might wait until day two to grab a running back.

 

Wide Receiver: This is another position that doesn't feature a whole lot of talent, however there will be quite a few receivers called in the later part of the first round.  Michigan State's Devin Thomas and Limas Sweed of Texas head up a list of about ten first-day-worthy receivers.  Like the running back situation, it's not likely the Packers will pick one unless somebody of value to the Pack falls to number 30.  Second-level receivers that might be available at number 56 include Michigan's Mario Manningham, Florida's Bubba Caldwell, and LSU's Early Doucet.  Wide receiver is another low-need position, so again, the Packers might hold off until day two.

 

Tight End: With Bubba Franks gone, tight end is in need of a little depth and it should surprise no one if the Packers end Saturday with a tight end.  USC's Fred Davis is a player the Packers might eye up.  Davis is a very good pass-catching tight end but a little weak when it comes to blocking.  Nevertheless, the Packers need a vertical option at tight end and Davis could be the man for the job.  If he isn't available or if the Packers pass on him, fear not, there will be a few options in the second round.  Purdue's Dustin Keller, Notre Dame's John Carlson and Texas A&M's Martellus Bennett should be second round picks.  Watch for Keller, has some scouts have him ranked higher than Davis.

 

Offensive Line: I can say this with absolute certainty: Jake Long won't be available.  It's likely that four tackles will go before the Packers first selection.  However, there's still a few good players at the tackle position that will be on the board.  USC's Sam Baker and Boston College's Gosder Cherilus both look like solid late-first round prospects.  After that it gets real thin in a hurry.  At guard, Virginia's Branden Albert is a first rounder for sure.  However, due to the lack of talent at guard, Albert will likely be gone at number 30.  If not, he would be an excellent addition at a position where the Packers need some depth.  Oregon State's Roy Schuening will probably be the only other guard to be selected on the first day.  There are no centers with first round talent but Mike Pollak of Arizona State, Steve Justice of Wake Forest and Notre Dame's John Sullivan are all worthy of a second round look and would be a sensible late second round addition.

 

Obviously top-notch guys like Matt Ryan, Darren McFadden and tackle Chris Williams be will gone by the midway point of the first round.  This is a down year for offensive talent with only about a dozen guys looking like week one starters.  Couple that with the fact that the Packers most pressing needs are on defense and it's likely the Packers won't focus too much on offense unless somebody slips.  The defensive positional breakdown will be up later this evening.

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