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Ted Thompson Draft Choices, A Pick by Pick Analysis

By Greg Matzek

It's no secret that Packers General Manager Ted Thompson believes the way to build an NFL roster is through the draft. In his four-plus years as GM, Thompson has utilized 14 trades to turn 31 picks into 43.  Of those 43 selections, 29 are on the current roster.

But with the recent departure of former 2nd round pick Brian Brohm to the Buffalo Bills, I was curious to see just how much value the Packers have received from each of their picks. Making the roster is step one. Step two is developing to the point where the draft choice is validated.

I went back an analyzed each of Thompson's drafts and assigned a letter grade to each pick. When grading, I placed heavy emphasis on productivity against the round the player was taken.  For example, as a first round pick (and a top 5) AJ Hawk has been average. Let's say Hawk were a 5th or 6th round pick, he'd liklely grade out as an "A" player.

To reach my final grade for each draft, I simply averaged out all the grades. An "A" and a "C" averages out a "B" in this system. There are some incomplete grades (primarily from this years draft), but if I felt like I've seen enough of a player to grade them, I went ahead and did so.

What was staggering to discover is just how few "A" players the Packers have drafted in Thompson's tenure as GM. I counted five players worthy of such a ranking: Aaron Rodgers, Nick Collins, Greg Jennings, Johnny Jolly, and Clay Matthews. Certainly, this is a fluid process and grades can and will change, but sizing things up today, here's my gradeout for each player that Thompson has drafted. The end result is exactly what can be expected of a team that many consider to be "pretty good". Pretty good can make the playoffs, but rarely advances beyond the first post season game.

Before you read on, please understand that I started doing a similar exercise with Mike Sherman's draft picks but became so infuriated with his mind boggling, franshise compromising picks, that I had to stop before I erupted in a fit of rage. Oh - and as a side note, Thompson doesn't dip into free agent waters too often, but Ryan Pickett, Charles Woodson and Brandon Chillar have all been pretty solid to say the least.

OK - I digress...onward! Feel free to play along at home and grade out your own special way:

Rd. Player Position Status Draft Value
1 Aaron Rodgers QB Will be the leader of the offense well into the next decade. Best QB from his draft class. A
2 Nick Collins S Elevated his game to Pro Bowl level in 2008. Hard hitter who has become a better overall player. A
2 Terrence Murphy WR I think he would've been between Jennings and Jones if career wasn't shortened due to neck injury. inc.
4 Marviel Underwood DB Played all 16 games as a rookie and recorded 35 tackles. Then he fell off the face of the earth.  F
4 Brady Poppinga LB He has a screw loose and I love it. He's an intense player who has been a steady LB. B
5 Junius Coston C Started 7 games for the Packers in 2007. Prototype size but underachieved. Last seen with Lions. D
5 Michael Hawkins CB Had a chance with Packers but suffered major leg injuries and never recovered. Out of football. F
6 Mike Montgomery DE Has had some productive on field moments for the Packers. C
6 Craig Bragg WR Has no stats to speak of from his time in GB. Nice practice squad player I'm told. D
7 Kurt Campbell DB Small college standout who never saw action for the Packers. Out of the NFL. F
7 William Whitticker OG Overwieght and under-strengthed as a rookie. No longer in the league. F
   

 

2005 Overall Grade: C
Rd. Player Position Status Draft Value
1 AJ Hawk LB Will play in NFL for 10 years, but needs to elevate his game to validate #5 pick. C
2 Daryn Colledge OT Well he sure is on the field a lot. Took every snap on offense in 2008, but has consistency issues C
2 Greg Jennings WR Special talent. Outstanding team player. Great locker room guy. A
3 Abdul Hodge LB I'm still surprised the Packers parted ways with Hodge in 2008. Had the makeup of a good one. D
3 Jason Spitz OG Pretty consistent and has a nasty streak on the field. OL misses his versatility. Currently on IR. C
4 Cory Rodgers WR While fighting for a roster spot, he was fighting through off field issues in TX. Waste of talent. F
4 Will Blackmon CB Injuries have slowed his progress, but he's the most dangerous return man since Desmond Howard. C
5 Ingle Martin QB Currently 3rd stringer for Denver. Saw the field once as a Packer in 2006. F
5 Tony Moll OT Played decent for GB before being traded to Baltiore for S Derrick Martin. C
6 Johnny Jolly DL A starter on the Packers DL. Jolly is a hard worker who has developed nicely. A
6 Tyrone Culver CB One year with the Packers. Out of football in 2007. Currently with Miami Dolphins. D
7 Dave Tollefson DE Never saw the field for the Packers. Been part of the Giants since 2007 and had 3.5 sacks last year. F
     

2006 Overall Grade:

C
Rd. Player Position Status Draft Value
1 Justin Harrell DT A complete disaster since day one.  F
2 Brandon Jackson RB Packers have had to resort to Ahman Green as a backup to Ryan Grant C
3 James Jones WR Showed greater promise as a rookie. Is likely a career #3 WR, but a good option C
3 Aaron Rouse S Athletic freak who fell out of favor with organization. Released before 2009 season D
4 Allen Barbre OT Has started a handful of games by necessity. Has a lot of work to do yet.  C
5 David Clowney WR Has been with the Jets since 2007. Having a decent season, but never made it beyond PS in GB F
6 Korey Hall FB Converted LB is excellent special teams player. Has been a good value to the Packers. B
6 Desmond Bishop LB Outstanding special teamer who sees time at LB, but yet to crack starting rotation. B
6 Mason Crosby K He's a good kicker, but has shown signs of inconsistency since rookie year. C
7 DeShawn Wynn RB Currently on the shelf for the Packers after having a nice training camp. Not sure what to make of him. D
7 Clark Harris TE Currently a long snapper for the Bengals…huh? Who knew? F
      2007 Overall Grade: C
Rd. Player Position Status Draft Value
2 Jordy Nelson WR Great size, good route runner, good returner. Still developing, but could peak as a #2 in the league. B
2 Brian Brohm QB 3rd stringer, turned proactice squad, turned Buffalo Bill. F
2 Patrick Lee CB Played in 5 games in 2008. Currently on Packers IR list. F
3 Jermichael Finley TE Budding star in the Packers offense. Matchup nightmare who is still raw. B
4 Jeremy Thompson DE Potential is the key word here, but so far it hasn't been realized. C
4 Josh Sitton OT Is getting time on the OL, but more out of necessity versus talent level. C
5 Brenno Giacomini OT Converted TE who is rarely active and cant break into a line that is struggling. D
7 Matt Flynn QB Evens out the Brohm pick a little. Tough as nails and is a winner.  B
7 Brett Swain WR Forced Ruvell Martin out of town. Great special teamer who is unfortunately on the IR. C
      2008 Overall Grade: C
Rd. Player Position Status Draft Value
1 BJ Raji DL Backup to Ryan Pickett. Value expected to increase significantly. C
1 Clay Matthews LB Outstanding rookie. Plays fast, is disruptive and instinctual. A
4 TJ Lang OL Has shown more promise than Sitton, Giacomini, and Barbre. B
5 Quinn Johnson FB Average grade is due to lack of games played. Will be the FB of the future I believe. C
5 Jamon Meredith OL Jury still out  inc.
6 Jarius Wynn DL See above inc.
6 Brandon Underwood CB See above inc.
7 Brad Jones LB Good enough to start when Aaron Kampman went down with injury. Played OK…no big mistakes. B
      2009 Overall Grade: inc.

 

 

 

 

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