That is what our friends at AccuScore.com think. Here is their analysis based on their game simulation projections...

The Packers won big over Detroit, but they still allowed Aaron Rodgers to be sacked 5 times. While Green Bay is a heavy simulation favorite vs the Browns if Rodgers is sacked 4+ times the Packers chances fall from 75 to just 64 percent.  The Browns passing game appears inept and Derek Anderson is completing well under 50 percent of his passes in simulations.  For the Browns to win they need the run the ball well.  If Jamal Lewis and Jerome Harrison can combine for 120+ rushing yards the Browns have a 60 percent chance of winning, but if they are under 100 yards the Browns win just 10 percent.