Red, White and Blue

MU Law School Poll: Baldwin leads Thompson 50-41; Obama up 54-40

CREATED Sep. 19, 2012 - UPDATED: Sep. 20, 2012

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MILWAUKEE - The newly-released Marquette University Law School Poll says that two Democratic candidates for election in Wisconsin have opened up larger leads.

Democratic Senate candidate Tammy Baldwin, who represents Madison in Congress, leads former Wisconsin Republican Governor and U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson, 50 to 41 percent.

Thompson had led Baldwin by the same percentage in a previous version of the poll from August 16-19.

"It's quite a strong surge," said the poll's director Charles Franklin.  "It's quite unusual, but so are the circumstances."

Franklin said that over the past month that Baldwin ran an aggressive TV campaign against Thompson -- while Thompson spent very little on ads during that time.

Thompson told TODAY'S TMJ4 on Tuesday that his campaign is 'broke.'

Franklin's most recent poll surveyed 34 percent of people identified as Democrats, compared to 32 percent in last month's poll; the poll surveyed 27 percent of people identified as Republicans this time around, compared to 30 percent last month.

Franklin said that had their sample demographics been the same as last month, Baldwin would have a five-point lead, instead of a nine-point lead.

In the presidential race, President Barack Obama (D) led Mitt Romney (R), 54-40.

According to Franklin, Mr. Obama grabbed a big bump from the Democratic National Convention.  His 14 percent margin on Romney is the biggest of the year so far.

When it came to the Senate race, Franklin said independent voters supported Thompson back in August, 47-37 percent.  This month, they supported Baldwin 50-38.

The poll had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.8 percent.  705 registered Wisconsin voters took part when the poll was conducted on Sept. 13-16.

Baldwin and Thompson will take part in a Senate debate next Friday night at 8:00 p.m. on TODAY'S TMJ4.