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The Jeff Falconio Blog

A Good Weekend For The Bubble: Monday Bracketeering

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Four more automatic bids go out tonight and it's been so far, so good for the bubble teams.  There have been no surprises in the mid-major conference tournaments as Northern Iowa won the MVC yesterday, Gonzaga plays for the WCC title tonight while Butler hosts the Horizon League final tomorrow.

 

The four championship games tonight are solid, with the most notable being the West Coast game between Gonzaga and St. Mary's.  Gonzaga in a lock but for St. Mary's it will be a long week on the bubble if the Gaels lose tonight.  The thinking was that if St. Mary's could get to the championship game that would be enough to put them in the field.  But no one wants to be sitting on that bubble hoping the bid thieves don't slice into the at-large field.

 

The Colonial Championship game features a solid Old Dominion team that probably doesn't have enough juice to make it as an at-large team.  Same thing for the MAAC's Siena.  The Saints face Fairfield while Old Dominion plays William & Mary.  The Southern Conference final pits division winners Appalachian State and Wofford.

 

With Northern Iowa's win there are now 30 locks, meaning at least four at-large bids will be at stake as the week plays out.

 

Automatic Bids: Cornell, Winthrop, East Tennessee State, Murray State, Northern Iowa

Locks: Richmond, Temple, Xavier, Clemson, Duke, Maryland, Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas A&M, Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Butler, BYU, New Mexico, California, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Gonzaga

At-Large Probables: Florida State, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville, Marquette, Memphis, UTEP

Bubble Teams: Rhode Island, Notre Dame, Seton Hall, Illinois, UAB, San Diego State, UNLV, Arizona State, Florida, St. Mary's, Utah State

Outside Looking In: Charlotte, Dayton, Connecticut, South Florida, Minnesota, Old Dominion, Marshall, Tulsa, Siena, Kent State, Wichita State, Washington, Mississippi State, Ole Miss

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