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The Jeff Falconio Blog

Packers-Lions: Three keys

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No Claymaker The Packers will be without their top two defensive playmakers in Charles Woodson and Clay Matthews.  So there are two sub-keys here.  In the secondary, there will be a lot of focus on Calvin Johnson but the "youngsters" House, Hayward and possibly Shields will also need to make sure Titus Young and Brandon Pettigrew don't rip off explosive plays.  Secondly, in terms of pass rush, will the Packers generate enough of an edge pass rush without Matthews?

Jordy's Return Without Jordy Nelson for the Jacksonville game and most of the Arizona game the Packers offense was effective enough to win.  However, it was noteworthy that Blaine Gabbert and John Skelton threw for more yards than Aaron Rodgers in both games.  Nelson should return to his role of go to guy and the added firepower might be too much for Detroit.

McCarthy's Advantages Earlier in the week Mike McCarthy said he looks to have three advantages: turnovers, penalties and third downs.  If that's the focus the Packers are in good shape.  They have a higher turnover margin, less penalties and a better third down conversion rate than Detroit.  It's important for the Packers to take control early and doing that means converting third downs and protecting the ball.

Prediction Packers 28, Lions 24

 

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