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The Jeff Falconio Blog

Packers-Colts: Three keys

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Mathis & Freeney The Colts switched from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4 this year and there are signs of growing pains.  Indy has only seven sacks on the year but four have come from Robert Mathis and the Colts get Dwight Freeney back after a four week absence.  Freeney played only eight snaps Week 1 and he is not at 100% but could still be disruptive.  Since giving up eight sacks in the first half to Seattle the Packers offensive line has not allowed a sack.  As long as the Packers keep those two in check Aaron Rodgers should have another big day.

Wayne's World Reggie Wayne is still a huge part of the offense, having been targeted 40 times in Indy's three games.  He is averaging nearly 100 receiving yards per game and rookie quarterback Andrew Luck will look to Wayne a lot today.  The big key will be limiting Wayne's explosiveness because it is not likely the Packers will limit the number of passes Wayne sees.

Fast Start It's so hard to tell where the Colts are mentally and emotionally.  They're a young team coming off a bye and still absorbing the news that their coach was diagnosed with leukemia earlier this week.  A fast start will put the young Colts on their heels and they simply don't have the weaponry to match the Packers offensive fire power.

Prediction Packers 34, Colts 17

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