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The Jeff Falconio Blog

Bracketeering 2012: The Drexel Dilemma

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The VCU Rams are back.


After sneaking into the NCAA Tournament last year as the last at-large team VCU is going back to the tourney.  This year VCU took the easy route by winning an automatic bid but in the process fellow conference-mate Drexel now has to sweat out Championship Week the same way VCU did last year.


Consider the pros and cons.  Working against the Dragons are a low RPI rating of 63, a slightly better but still unimpressive  ranking of 41 in Ken Pomeroy's ratings and a lack of quality wins.  Drexel's best win was likely at home against VCU January 8.  Working in their favor are a 27-5 record, a 4-2 record versus teams ranked in the RPI top 100 and a 19-1 record to end the season.  So is that better than, say, Seton Hall or Northwestern?  This could be the toughest decision the selection committee faces this week.


Meanwhile four teams punched their ticket on Monday night so here's how I see the field:


Automatic Bids: Belmont, Creighton, Davidson, Loyola, MD, Murray State, St. Mary's, UNC-Asheville, VCU

Locks: Baylor, Duke, Florida, Florida State, Georgetown, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, Marquette, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan State, Missouri, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Ohio State, San Diego State, Southern Miss, Syracuse, Temple, UNIV, Vanderbilt, Wichita State, Wisconsin

Bubble Teams: Alabama, Arizona, BYU, Cal, Central Florida, Colorado State, Connecticut, Drexel, Harvard, Iona, Iowa State, Kansas State, Long Beach State, Miami, Middle Tennessee, Mississippi State, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina State, Northwestern, Oral Roberts, Oregon, Purdue, Seton Hall, South Florida, St Joseph's, St Louis, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Xavier

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