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The Jeff Falconio Blog

Leaping into the brackets

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Small and mid-major conference tournaments are underway and Selection Sunday is in a week and half.  Below are the teams that I think are a lock (a lock being defined as a team that would be in the field even if they lose all remaining games) for the NCAA Tournament:

 

Baylor, Duke, Florida, Florida State, Georgetown, Gonzaga, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, Marquette, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan State, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio State, San Diego State, Southern Miss, Syracuse, Temple, UNLV, Vanderbilt, Wichita State, Wisconsin

 

As I see it, there are 25 locks, meaning there are at least 13 at-large spots remaining.  I should note that nine conferences are represented among the locks so there could be as many as 22 at-large bids up for grabs.

 

This has been as wide open a year as I can remember as there are close to 40 teams on the bubble with a realistic shot at the tournament.  Here they are:

 

Alabama, Arizona, BYU, Cal, Central Florida, Colorado State, Connecticut, Creighton, Drexel, Harvard, Iona, Iowa State, Kansas State, Long Beach State, Miami, Middle Tennessee, Mississippi State, Murray State, Nevada, New Mexico, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Oral Roberts. Oregon, Purdue, Seton Hall, South Florida, St Joseph's, St Louis, St Mary's, Texas, VCU, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Xavier

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