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The Jeff Falconio Blog

Week 5 Fantasy Picks

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Is Kyle Orton the real deal?  Certainly he's been impressive so far but hasn't been tested yet.  Today's game against the Ravens offers that test but until Orton proves he can put up huge numbers against good secondaries I'm not convinced.  I'm still on the Matt Schaub bandwagon and Houston's matchup is favorable.

Dustin Keller has become a primary target in the Jets passing game and unless you're loaded at TE Keller should start.  Maybe with the addition of Randy Moss Visanthe Shaincoe might benefit but let's see how Minnesota's offense works first.  Keller is also a better option than Tony Moeaki even though the rookie has played a big part in the Chiefs 3-0 start.

With all the injuries to various running backs you may have to go deep into your bench but a few players that will now have opportunities include Fred Jackson, Mike Bell, Chris Ivory, and Ryan Torain.  In PPR formats Jackson has lots of appeal with Marshawn Lynch gone and Torain is now the feature guy in Washington's backfield.  Philadelphia and New Orleans may not run the ball that much this week.

Pierre Garcon is back but not at 100%.  There might be an easing-back-into-things period for Garcon so for this week Devery Henderson is a better option.

San Francisco finally showed some defensive/special teams teeth and now the 49ers face a Philly team without Michael Vick.  At 0-4 there should be a sense of urgency for the 49ers.  While Baltimore is been good statistically they've only forced one interception.

Who's the #1 back in San Diego?  Hard to say though both Ryan Mathews and Mike Tolbert should see plenty of action today but Mathews gets a slight nod since he's a bigger threat to catch passes.

How about Mathews compared to a guy like Payton Hillis?  Despite QB problems Hillis has been a pleasant surprise.  He is now the feature back in Cleveland and has scored every week.  Hillis is in a good spot right now.

With injuries to a number of receivers Kevin Walter could have a huge day today.  The same can't be said about Mike Sims-Walker.  MSW just doesn't look like the same player and it doesn't help that Jacksonville has been so inconsistent.  Greg & I split on our thoughts on other WRs.  Greg likes Dwayne Bowe today with Bowe being the #1 option in KC.  I like Garcon, despite coming off the injury, the Colts spread it around and should come out on fire today.

Carson Palmer or Joe Flacco?  Hard to say if Palmer is ready to break out but last week Cincy's offense finally showed what their capable of.  the Bengals should do it again this week against Tampa Bay.  Like Palmer, Flacco doesn't look the way we expected and something has been missing in Baltimore's offense.

Speaking of Cincinnati, what will Terrell Owens do?  Well don't expect another 222 yard outing but heck if Owens does half that, which he should, it'll be a good day.  Jeremy Maclin on the other had is too up-and-down and with Kevin Kolb at QB for the Eagles today there may not be a lot of big plays.

Greg & I split on Brett Favre and Shaun Hill.  I think Favre is st up for a big night tomorrow while Greg isn't convinced and looks for a Detroit win today.

Eli Manning is legit as a fantasy QB and with a good matchup against a soft Houston secondary he's a good option today.  Certainly, a better option that Mark Sanchez.

Denver's offense can't keep it up, can they?  Well even if they don't Brandon Lloyd has benefited greatly and for the time being should be starting.  Mark Clayton has take advantage of playing time in St. Louis but hasn't been as explosive as Lloyd.

With Clinton Portis out, Ryan Torain is the feature back in Washington and should get plenty of touches which makes him a slightly better option than a guy like Jamaal Charles who splits time with Thomas Jones.

Arian Foster is still a part of Houston's offense but who else can be counted on today?  I think despite being hurt Ahmad Bradshaw still has the ability to put up points today.  Greg likes a safer bet like Steven Jackson.

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