Brewers Enter Critical Stretch
Through 37 games in 2010, the Milwaukee Brewers were 15-22 and scored 199 runs.
Through 37 games in 2011, the Milwaukee Brewers are 16-21 and have scored just 140 runs.
The prevailing thought is that the 2011 Brewers, with a beefed up starting rotation, are more talented than the 2010 version. While I agree with that sentiment, I feel like the Brewers have a major hill to climb in order to get back to .500.
Consider this: The Brewers were 8-8 on April 23, 2010. They fell to 8-9 the very next day and never saw the .500 mark again that season.
The above stat makes this next stretch of 13 games in 13 days absolutely critical. A realistic goal would be to be .500 by Flag Day (June 14th)...at worst by the all-star break. The Reds won the division with 91 games last season. It's fair to assume it will take at least that to win the division this season.
If the Brewers are 46-46 at the all-star break, they would need to go 45-25 the rest of the way to reach the 91 win mark. That would be a daunting task for a team that has yet to show the consistency needed to make such a run. The way this season is shaping up, the only way for the Brewers to make the playoffs will be to win the division. The wild card will not come from the NL central.
One thing is for certain: No team in the division is slowing down and waiting for the Brewers to catch up. The only team below the Brewers in the standings are the Houston Astros.
So while I believe this year's Brewers are a more talented team than the 2010 version, the reality is they aren't yet showing it.