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Charlie Sykes: Sykes Writes

Vindicating Paul Ryan Part II

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More evidence that the Ryan-will-scare-granny punditry was a tad premature. The new Pew poll shows that Romney is winning voters 65 and older by 19 points.

So, apparently, the images of Ryan pushing granny off the cliff were not especially effective.

In 2008, McCain lost 18-29 year olds by 34 points to Obama. In the new Pew poll, Romney is trailing Obama by 21 points among that youngest demographic. On the other end of the age spectrum, McCain beat Obama by 8 points among voters 65 and older in 2008 but Romney is ahead by 19 points in the latest Pew data. Among 30-44 year olds, Obama is running six points ahead of Romney — exactly where he was in 2008 against McCain; same goes for voters age 45-64 among whom the two candidate are currently tied just as Obama and McCain wound up in 2008.

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Also notable:

A Republican intensity gap: More than three-quarters (76 percent) of Republican and lean Republican voters said they are likely to vote on Nov. 6 as compared with 62 percent of Democrats and lean Democratic voters. That double-digit intensity gap should be concerning for Democrats as, typically, the side whose base is more energized usually winds up winning.

 

 

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